2021 Genesis Invitational picks, predictions, odds, field grade, best bets at Riviera Country Club

In many ways, the entirety of the 2021 golf season has been leading into this week at Riviera Country Club. The best event on the PGA Tour’s west coast swing also comes at possibly its best golf course with a field fit for a major championship. Add it all up, and this weekend’s Genesis Invitational is must-see TV ahead of the Florida swing with the Masters just over the horizon.

Let’s take a closer look at this week’s contest, with odds and prop bets provided via William Hill Sportsbook.

Event information

What: Genesis Invitational
When: Feb. 18-21
Where: Riviera Country Club — Pacific Palisades, California

Three things to know

1. Hey, Mr. DJ: Dustin Johnson’s numbers are comical right now, and we might be underrating the absolute tear he’s currently on. Since Aug. 1 of last year, only Johnson, Xander Schauffele, Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas are averaging over 2.0 strokes gained per round. Schauffele is at 2.71 per round. Johnson is at 3.62. He’s been about twice as good as No. 5 on that list, Tony Finau, who is at 1.87 strokes gained per round. Additionally, 70% of his starts have been top-five finishes, and he’s the leader in strokes gained at this course over the last 10 years (by another wide margin). 

2. Bryson noise: You could pick any number of things — including the course itself — as the second-biggest storyline this week, but I’m going with Bryson DeChambeau. He finished in the top 10 here last year — pre-weight gain — but has been incredibly quiet since winning the U.S. Open in September. He’s played just four times with two top 10s and no real challenges to win. He’s always (always!) fascinating, but even more so this week at a classic like Riviera.

3. Three for Spieth: Jordan Spieth said recently that he was not in a good head space following the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines three weeks ago. Then he ripped off two top-five finishes in a row and is headed to a course he said was “arguably my favorite golf course in the world.” As macho as the last two performances have been, if he does it this week in this field at this course, we can definitively say that Spieth is back and ready for Augusta National.

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Grading the field

All it’s missing is Tiger Woods, who will be hosting instead of playing. In all, 16 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Rankings will be in attendance, and the strength of field this week (628) is akin to a playoff event and very nearly to a major championship. Throw in the fact that world No. 1 (D.J.) is coming off a win in his last start and Adam Scott won here last year over Rory, Bryson and D.J., and you can see why excitement is high. Grade: A+

Genesis Invitational picks

Who will win the Genesis Invitational, and which long shots will stun the golfing world? Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard and top picks, all from the model that’s nailed six golf majors and is up over $11,100 since last summer’s restart.

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